Same as you Watts. I think Easter weekend will dictate how much longer the restrictions are in place. Some idiots just don't seem to get the seriousness of the situation.
Lockdown another 3-4 weeks I expect, then a gradual relaxation leading into June/July. But it’ll be a while before things are back to normal.
A while is about 18 months to 2 years when a vaccine is expected. Until then this virus will continue to spread until most of us have had it. Lockdown can help stop us all getting ill at once, but it can't stop us getting ill. Meanwhile businesses collapse, the elderly are isolated, the economy crashes, there's less money for healthcare etc etc.
It will be some years before we know if lockdown is an effective strategy.
We should all be following the rules to take the pressure off the health system. But I wouldn't feel too guilty about the odd drive to the shops.