That is weird. It's hard to tell. At first it looks like normal orange peel but then many modern cars suffer from that to a certain extent. Polishing won't get rid of orange peel, you would have to knock it back through wet sanding. Not something to be enetered into lightly!
Then in the pic with the phone reflection it does look more like water marks. Do you live in a hard water area? Has the car had water from hose/jet washer left sitting on it to dry? That could be it, because claying doesn't always remove water marks. Certainly on my car, only polishing with a DA has got rid of the some of the water marks. In some extreme cases even polishing doesn't work.
Is it the same all over the car? And has it just recently appeared or has it always been like that?