Author Topic: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise  (Read 13798 times)

Offline monkeyhanger

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GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« on: 04 November 2014, 21:58 »
Just checked out the GFVs for the R and they've dropped £3k since I placed my order on Sept 24th, the GTI and GTD have taken a beating too:-

5 door manual for all 3 cars on a 36 month/30k miles basis:-

R:     £30555 > £15576.30 = 50.1% RRP retained (was 60%)
GTI:  £27235 > £13109.40 = 48.1% RRP retained (was 51%)
GTD: £26670 > £13746.85 = 51.5% RRP retained (was 56%)

My R is now going to be costing me £83 a month more than I thought it was going to.

I might consider getting the S3 instead if my dealer confirms these as true (I thought the R figs might be a typo until I saw the GTI and GTD dropped correspondingly too).

If I can get the finance figs he quoted (with that GFV of £18600 guaranteed) it could still be worth getting it on finance and leaving my money in the bank, then potentially walking away at the end of the term rather than buying the car outright and it being worth £3k less than I thought it was going to be.

£3782 in interest on £22k financed after my GTD equity (about £5k) and discount on the £18600 GFV terms and make £1400 interest (£2382 net interest cost) vs being £3k down on GFV drop.

Seriously considering getting an S3 instead if their GFVs haven't dropped as the £3k extra cost will more than pay for the extras i'd want to get the S3 up to R spec for the practical stuff, with the added bonus of the nicer seats and slightly nicer interior.
« Last Edit: 04 November 2014, 22:12 by monkeyhanger »
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Offline mcmaddy

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #1 on: 05 November 2014, 07:30 »
Is this on new deals matt? What about existing finance people?
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Offline dubber36

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #2 on: 05 November 2014, 08:16 »
Is this on new deals matt? What about existing finance people?

If you already have the car, then your deal will remain the same as that's what you signed up for.

@ Monkeyhanger, if you've agreed a deal and had your proposal accepted, can they change the terms before delivery? It's not really cricket is it?

You say you have the money in the bank, so why not just buy the car? That way you don't have to make a decision about what do do with the car in three years time. 
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Offline JBirchy

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #3 on: 05 November 2014, 08:32 »
I know when I agreed the deal and placed my order for my GTI just over 12 months ago it was based on a certain monthly figure. If they'd have tried to change that when I collected I would have walked away. I would have thought if you've agreed the deal, then that's that.

All of those GFV's seem low to me though... I'm sure mine is around the £15.5k mark even after 4 yrs... Saying that, list price on mine was £30,540 so at 51% that would make sense.
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Offline monkeyhanger

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #4 on: 05 November 2014, 09:00 »
Chris/mcmaddy: If you already have the car, then your deal will remain the same as that's what you signed up for, they can’t touch your GFV. If the GFV drops (well it has dropped by a grand on the GTD just now) and your car is worth less to the dealer than the GFV, you walk away at the end of your term with no equity.


Dubber 36: I don’t already have the car, but I have an order form. I’m not sure if the GFV in place when the order was struck is solid or whether the finance numbers are drawn up when I pick the car up and I decide to take their finance (I suspect the latter). If I were to still buy it outright the GFV is out of the window and the car will probably be worth as p/x £16700 (£1k over current £15700 GFV, if it doesn’t fall any further) instead of the expected £19600 (£1k over the £18600 on my proposal).

I have checked all the dealership emails and order forms and there is nothing in there stating the higher GFV that was in place on the finance examples.

Looking at Audi finance, they have a limited number of models with finance examples, and the one they have (the lowly 1.2TSI A3) has a GFV of 52%, The S3 has to be higher than that and it was 56% last time I looked, with no dirt cheap lease deals out there.

It looks like I have 3 options:-

1.   If I can get finance on the old GFV terms (doubtful, I have nothing documentary to back it up), the interest to pay vs leaving money in the bank will leave me £2300 worse off than I thought, but I will be able to get the 3 year service pack for £199, leaving me about £2k worse off.

2.   Get finance on the lower GFV rate (worst option IMO) and leave the money in the bank.

3.   Buy R in cash as planned and be about £3000 likely worse off on p/x as the GFV  has fallen by that much.

4.   Cut my losses and go for an S3, paying £2500 more on the top end to add Driver assist pack (Light and rain sensors, Audi park plus, high beam assistant, lane assist, ACC), Folding/heated door mirrors, Auto-dimming rear view mirror, hold assist, Sepang blue paint. The S3 comes with fine nappa leather seats and a few other bits and bobs not standard on the R that I wouldn’t normally buy. £2500 more on the top end and at least £2000 more back in p/x (judging by the GFV being at least £2000 more if my last conversation with an Audi garage was anything to go by).

5.   Wait for the next bargain lease deal to come through on the R and jump to that, handing the GTD over to the missus when she eventually learns to drive (she’ll be bussing it to work if she hasn’t taken and passed her test by next July).

The S3 is looking the more tempting option right now (option 4) on the assumption I can’t get the higher GFV on finance (option 1) to mitigate the £3k loss I would suffer on option 3. I prefer the exterior looks of the R overall, but the more aggressive front of the S3 does redeem some of the estate car looks (I would likely be going Sportback) and I like the interior more (although previously not enough to pay what would have been an extra £3k for the privilege). I will have to learn to cut people up and not let people out at junctions etc if I do get behind the wheel of an Audi. There won’t be as many S3s out there either.

I do wonder what the motivation is for the Decimation of the R GFVs and significant step-down in those for the GTI and GTD too:-

Too high for the market to bear vs the competition? Too many out there/ordered to satisfy projected used market demand? VWFS not happy about the lease deals competing too aggressively with the dealership PCP route and so stiffing the lease companies (and the rest of us are just collateral damage) so they’ll make nowt on the deal when the car gets sold at end of lease term and won’t repeat? Audi kicking off about VW’s high GFVs potentially cannibalising too many sales to VW from Audi? VW just trying to dampen the market because they can’t keep up with demand or are seeing the lower spec car sales suffer (as they’ve traditionally had significantly lower GFVs – you could get a GTD cheaper than a 150ps TDI GT on solutions as a result).
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Offline fredgroves

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #5 on: 05 November 2014, 09:01 »
You say you have the money in the bank, so why not just buy the car?

Unless you've managed to find some sort of high risk high yield savings account, the money you have in the bank is always going to be earning less than you are paying on a loan - by many times usually.

Always better to go with the cheapest form of spending.

On the other hand, maybe you are looking from a cash flow perspective, in which case I'd go for a hybrid deal, increase the cash deposit to balance your cash at bank.

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Offline monkeyhanger

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #6 on: 05 November 2014, 09:10 »
I know when I agreed the deal and placed my order for my GTI just over 12 months ago it was based on a certain monthly figure. If they'd have tried to change that when I collected I would have walked away. I would have thought if you've agreed the deal, then that's that.

All of those GFV's seem low to me though... I'm sure mine is around the £15.5k mark even after 4 yrs... Saying that, list price on mine was £30,540 so at 51% that would make sense.

If you were ordering now on the new GFVs, your GTI as per your signature would be coming up as worth around £14k dead (options retaining about 20% of their cost after 3 years), giving you a GFV of around 45.8% after 3 years. I’m not counting the options though, they’re not representative of the car as a whole. I can’t see how you got a GFV of 51% after 4 years, the GTI and the GTD have never been that high. The basic GTI was around 51% after 3 years on all the finance examples I have seen.

I can’t believe how full of doom and gloom I am over those GFVs on their website after really looking forward to my R. As you can tell, residuals do play a large part of my decision making for a new car.
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Offline monkeyhanger

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #7 on: 05 November 2014, 10:21 »
You say you have the money in the bank, so why not just buy the car?

Unless you've managed to find some sort of high risk high yield savings account, the money you have in the bank is always going to be earning less than you are paying on a loan - by many times usually.

Always better to go with the cheapest form of spending.

On the other hand, maybe you are looking from a cash flow perspective, in which case I'd go for a hybrid deal, increase the cash deposit to balance your cash at bank.

Fredgroves:

Usually you’d be right with what you’ve said, but the potential of getting the old high GFV on PCP and walking away vs buying a car that will now be worth £3k less than I thought it would even things up in PCP favour.

Paying off outright and saving £3700 PCP interest on a car with a car now worth £3k less than anticipated and not earning interest in the bank vs taking out PCP on the £3k higher GFV (if that is still an option) only leaves me £700 down overall plus the potential to make £1450 in interest from a 3% return on my £22k required and £300 saving on 3 years servicing (after £5k equity I’ll have in my GTD and the discount) to get the R, putting me up by £750. This is only true on the assumption that I am still eligible to get the old GFV via PCP, still leaving me £1950 worse off than I thought I’d be just a few days ago before the GFVs were touched.
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Offline CraigW

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #8 on: 05 November 2014, 10:24 »
MH your other option is of course just to keep hold of the GTD

Offline monkeyhanger

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Re: GFVs have taken a real kicking with Nov 14 price rise
« Reply #9 on: 05 November 2014, 11:37 »
MH your other option is of course just to keep hold of the GTD

I had thought about that too, that would be the very sensible option considering I don't know how far my commute will be when I get made redundant and have to change jobs. If that was what I was doing then I'd be getting the Bridgestones off.

Enquiring about an S3.....
Whey ya bugger! It's finally arrived after an 8 month wait....
MK7 R 5 door, manual, Lapiz Blue, Prets.