My take on it in as short a message as possible so as not to bore anyone:
MK6 R sold in very low numbers due to poor value hence high retained value.
VW considered not importing R at the time when a lot of us early adopters ordered.
7R GFV set high by VW and trade in general reflecting the low anticipated sales of halo model.
Lease companies saw a niche and filled it - then all hell broke loose thanks to hotukdeals threads (VERY popular website bringing the R to the general public who wouldn't generally have thought about this as a cheap car to run for a couple years) and general forum hysteria coupled with rave press reviews by journos who drive the thing flat out for half a day or whatever.
VW are being fairly sensible by limiting production enough and hence the long wait times which will help keep the car above the GFV figures which are gradually lowering.
However VW dealers are using their monthly allocation of GTI/D/R production to supply GTD's to company car drivers as they're cheaper to lease or PCP than a GT and R's as they're cheaper to lease or PCP than a GTI.
It's only really us existing cash buyers that will get stung by generally lower values. And we will either just keep our cars longer and VW won't give too much of a monkey's as we aren't paying VW finance anything, or we will jump ship to another marque who are also pricing aggressively such as BMW.
At the end of the day VWFS are leasing the R in reply to BMWs stunning deals on the M135i. It's a bit tit for tat and once these cars start getting stolen left right and centre which is what happened in the early 90's when hot hatches hit their prime sales the market on them will crash and the GTE and other such things will come of age…
Make hay while the sun shines people!!!! Things will settle down in a while and there will again be three distinct tiers of VW sporty Golfs and four when we look at the GTE which will take sales from GTDs.
I am not that excited by the R. It's a pretty awesome car but the excitement is really around 'Power' and this weird idea that more is better.
And i will be honest, I probably couldn't afford to run an R on a daily basis and truth be told, I don't need to. If the GTD is a 'compromise', then it's a compromise i am happy to make.
I am more excited by the GTE, as a car person, the tech in plug in hybrids and the chance in the future to reduce running costs excites me for me than the power race.
Yes, I do like the R, and I am slightly intrigued by the R Estate (it's as bonkers as VW gets surely).
As mentioned, what will tempt me out of my GTD is the GTE or something similar. Believe it not Plug in Hybrids actually offer their own version of driving fun.
I own my GTD outright - it's going to be with me for sometime unless I move over to a GTE but a s private buyer i can't see that being a good idea immediately. You will pay for the GTE tech and pay more for something in order to save money seems a bit back front to me.
The real reason the R exists is a 'halo' vehicle and so VW can compete with other manufacturers. I am glad the R exists but if i had the choice, I'd still take the GTI PP.
The only thing I really really really really like on the R, the one thing you can't get on GTI's or GTD's is the Lapiz Blue paint.
James