« Reply #15 on: 28 March 2020, 14:13 »
Depends on whether people get it into their thick heads about reducing transmission of the virus (I’m especially including world leaders here who are still using it for political games) and stop travel to get the world back on an even keel sooner rather than later.
The world is on pause.
Underwriters will knee jerk to try and minimise losses.
Governments will have to beg, borrow and steal trillions of dollars in the short term never mind longer term.
That’s the here and now.
Specifically looking at car finance, if we can get back some sort of normality in the shorter term before businesses fold left, right and centre putting even more pressure on financial institutions (thus finding themselves with near worthless properties, vehicles, machinery etc to dispose of) then I can see things like VAT decreasing in the short term like after the 2008 crash to help regenerate the economy along with continuing lowish interest rates.
If the institutions end up with a load of VT’s and repossessions on their hands they’ll want as much money back on those before they start encouraging people to buy yet more new cars on the never never if they actually apply a bit of common sense (less new cars being registered means higher demand and therefore higher values for used which could save millions in losses for finance companies lumbered with VT’s and repos).
Maybe a scrappage scheme again to encourage the manufacturing, possibly favouring smaller electric vehicles and discouraging polluting SUV’s (depending on political will).
If it drags on longer then we will all have to accept a post-war style “make do” mentality anyway.
Do we really need £1500+ iPads just to sit and look at Facebook and car forums? But the economy has to recover and that means there needs to be jobs and therefore consumer demand to create even more jobs. The wealth will have to gradually recover.
It’s all happened so fast the world was caught with its trousers down so its best guess at the most.

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